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Daily Natural Gas Report - August Futures (NGQ26 @ 2.856) | 07.21.2026

  • Writer: Timothy Beggans
    Timothy Beggans
  • 1 day ago
  • 2 min read

Timestamps


00:00 Introduction and Current Market Prices

00:24 Technical Analysis: RSI and Conflicting Signals

00:47 Tropical Storm Bertha and Demand Impact

00:57 Hourly Chart: Support and Resistance Levels

01:36 April-October Strip and Super El Niño Outlook

01:59 ERCOT Power Demand and Fuel Mix Update

02:38 National Grid Electricity Price Spikes

03:07 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook (US and Europe)

03:32 Heat Risk and Humidity Forecast

04:24 European AI Weather Model (August 5th Projection)

05:35 European Storage and TTF Gas Market Analysis

06:23 Asian Market Heatwave and Weather Anomalies

06:43 Global LNG Shipping and Geopolitical Congestion

07:02 US LNG Facility Flow and Maintenance (Freeport, Sabine Pass, Cheniere)

08:20 US Nuclear Fleet Readiness

08:33 Tropical Outlook: Bertha's Track and Impact

09:20 Saharan Dust and Canadian Wildfire Smoke Update

09:55 Energy Stock Recap and Final Market Summary


In today's report for July 21, 2026, we break down the latest movements in the natural gas market as the August futures (NGQ26) trade near the 2.856 level. We examine the conflicting signals currently driving price action, from rising temperatures and strengthening power demand to the potential bearish impact of upcoming storage reports.


Key topics covered in this update:


Market Technicals: A look at the RSI, moving averages, and key resistance/support levels to watch.


Weather & Power Demand: Record-breaking demand in ERCOT, electricity price spikes across MISO and PJM, and the 8-14 day temperature outlook pushing into August.


Tropical Update: The latest track for Tropical Storm Bertha and its potential to dampen demand along the Gulf Coast.


Global Perspectives: European storage levels and TTF market updates, along with weather anomalies impacting Asian energy demand.


Infrastructure & Shipping: Flow rates and maintenance schedules for major US LNG facilities including Freeport and Corpus Christi.


Stay ahead of the market with our daily analysis. Let us know your thoughts on the impact of Super El Niño and the current heat risk in the comments below!


NG Stock Watch List Oil & Gas EMP Sector

Market Cap 2-10B, short float over 10%

BKV | CNX | CRGY | CRK | MGY | MTDR | NOG


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