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Energy Consultancy | Wellhead to Global LNG, Sustainability and AI


Understanding Spark, Dark, Clean-Spark & Clean-Dark Spreads: Why They Matter in Power & Energy Markets
Source: Tradingview.com (ERCOT North Spark Spread) In energy markets, spreads such as spark and dark (and their “clean” variants) reveal the economic incentives for power-plant dispatch. They also act as support or resistance levels for underlying fuels — especially natural gas. Spark Spread The spark spread measures the theoretical margin for a gas-fired generator. Formula: Spark Spread = Electricity Price − (Natural Gas Price × Heat Rate) Dark Spread The dark spread applie

Timothy Beggans
2 days ago2 min read


Operational Flow Orders: Why They Matter for Pipeline Reliability
Source: www.pivotalweather.com Pipeline systems depend on balance—too much gas in or too much taken out can threaten pressure, integrity, and firm service. That’s why operators issue Operational Flow Orders (OFOs), a critical tool to stabilize system conditions during stress. Why OFOs Are Called OFOs typically arise when linepack is tight, weather spikes demand, storage swings are limited, or shippers’ receipts and deliveries drift out of balance. When these conditions thr

Timothy Beggans
4 days ago1 min read


China’s LNG Pause: A Market Reset, Not a Collapse
Source: IEA After years as the driver of global LNG growth, China has eased off the throttle in 2025. Imports have slipped as domestic gas production rises, pipeline flows from Russia expand, industrial demand softens, and rapid renewable additions cut into gas-fired power. Cargoes once destined for China are increasingly redirected to Europe, Japan, South Korea, and emerging Asia. The Positives • Price relief: A major supply wave from the U.S., Qatar, and others arriving 20

Timothy Beggans
Dec 21 min read


Hedging Strategies in Natural Gas: Swaps, Costless Collars, and Three-way Collars
Source: Elk Trading Company LLC Natural gas producers operate in a landscape shaped by weather volatility, LNG-driven baseload demand, and shifting production growth. In this environment, hedging isn’t a luxury—it’s fundamental risk management. While structures evolve with market conditions, three tools dominate E&P portfolios: swaps, costless collars, and three-way collars. Each carries a different balance of protection, opportunity, and complexity. Swaps The most widely use

Timothy Beggans
Nov 252 min read


NG Stocks Jump on Colder December Forecasts
Source: TradingView.com Natural gas equities are surging as colder December forecasts drive renewed bullish sentiment across the market. Leading producers like EQT, Comstock (CRK), Antero (AR), and CNX have all rallied in recent sessions, boosted by expectations of stronger heating demand and record-setting LNG export volumes . While updated models now project higher Heating Degree Days (HDDs) for December, they still trail last year’s levels. Yet, the market’s reaction sugg

Timothy Beggans
Nov 131 min read


NG Volatility Is Coming — Buckle Up!
Source: Elk Trading Company LLC The natural gas market is heading into a new era of volatility. As U.S. LNG exports and data centers surge, the share of baseload (24/7/365) demand continues to grow — permanently altering the balance of flexibility that has historically smoothed seasonal swings. This shift means the remaining variable components of demand—industrial, residential, and power generation—will become more reactive to even minor shifts in weather, pipeline constrai

Timothy Beggans
Nov 111 min read


North America’s LNG Boom: Opportunity or Risk for Canada?
Source: https://www.nisgaanation.ca/ North America’s LNG export capacity is set to more than double by 2029, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). This transformative buildout could reshape global gas flows and carries major implications for Canada’s energy strategy. But will it be a boon—or a challenge—for Canada? Opportunities for Canada The planned expansion, including West Coast and U.S. Gulf terminals, offers improved market access for western C

Timothy Beggans
Oct 232 min read


Fusion Faces a Harsh Reality: Why Natural Gas Remains the Backbone of Power Reliability
Source: Helion Energy Exceptional materials degradation caused by large quantities of fusion neutrons is one of the single largest factors limiting the economics and safety of fusion energy. Despite massive R&D momentum, including the Department of Energy’s roadmap targeting deployment in the 2030s, fusion remains a distant prospect rather than a near-term solution. The challenge lies not just in achieving sustained fusion reactions, but in withstanding them. The bombardment

Timothy Beggans
Oct 211 min read


Rising Power Costs are Suddenly a Political Hot Potato!
Source: EIA Electricity prices are surging across the U.S., thrusting energy affordability into the political spotlight. From Virginia to New Jersey, escalating costs are fueling debate as utilities grapple with soaring demand from AI-driven data centers and rapid electrification. In the PJM region — spanning Illinois to New Jersey — wholesale power costs have climbed more than 30% year-over-year , according to Reuters and EIA data. Much of this increase stems from the surge
media4035
Oct 162 min read


Will Data Centers and LNG Export Facilities Rewrite the Natural Gas Pipeline Flow Patterns?
Source: https://www.datacentermap.com/usa/ The U.S. natural gas grid is being reshaped by two powerful new demand drivers: AI data...

Timothy Beggans
Oct 91 min read


Comstock Resources Is on a Tear — What Is It Saying About the Natural Gas Market?
Source: TradingView.com Comstock Resources has doubled down on natural gas development, signaling it sees sustained strength ahead....

Timothy Beggans
Oct 72 min read


Is Natural Gas forming a long-term price bottom?
Source: GROK U.S. natural gas prices are showing signs of a floor, with Henry Hub averaging $3.66/MMBtu in 1H 2025 , up sharply from...

Timothy Beggans
Oct 22 min read


Energy ETFs: What Are They Telling Us About the Natural Gas Market?
Source: TradingView.com Natural gas (NG) markets are flashing warning signs, and energy ETFs like BOIL, KOLD, UNG, and UNL are...

Timothy Beggans
Sep 231 min read


Riding the Rally: High Short Float Energy Stocks in a Rising Natural Gas Market
Source: Tradingview.com Natural gas futures are firming. The prompt contract has rebounded from recent lows, supported by...

Timothy Beggans
Sep 181 min read


EQT Corporation’s LNG Strategy – Wellhead to Water
Source: SuperGrok EQT Corporation, the largest U.S. natural gas producer, is executing a “wellhead-to-water” LNG strategy aimed at capturing international premiums and diversifying beyond domestic markets. The plan, highlighted in the Q2 2025 Earnings Presentation and recent announcements, rests on long-term liquefaction capacity secured via 20-year Sale and Purchase Agreements (SPAs). Core Moves in 2025: Commonwealth LNG (LA): 1.0 MTPA under SPA, FID expected 2025. Rio Grand

Timothy Beggans
Sep 161 min read


Natural Gas Winter Strip – Is it About to Rally?
Source: TradingView.com The November 2025–March 2026 natural gas winter strip is heating up, now averaging $3.807 , up from a recent low...

Timothy Beggans
Sep 41 min read


India Tariffs set to rebalance Global LNG trade
Source: SuperGrok The global LNG market is once again being reshaped—not by price cycles or supply shocks, but by tariffs and...

Timothy Beggans
Sep 22 min read


Natural Gas Big Picture Outlook – Monthly Update August 2025
Source: ChatGPT The global natural gas market is navigating a mix of bullish and bearish signals as we move through late summer 2025:...

Timothy Beggans
Aug 261 min read


Natural Gas Basin Highlight: San Juan Basin – Mancos Shale
Source: Energy Transfer Once considered a declining natural gas province, the San Juan Basin may be staging a comeback thanks to the...

Timothy Beggans
Aug 211 min read


Natural Gas Basin Highlight – Western Haynesville
Source: GROK The Western Haynesville is emerging as one of the most strategically important natural gas plays in the United States — and...

Timothy Beggans
Aug 191 min read
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