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Energy Consultancy | Wellhead to Global LNG, Sustainability and AI


NG/LNG - This Week's Main Drivers and the Look Ahead | 8.9.26
Source: EIA The natural gas market continues to balance late-summer weather, growing LNG demand, and persistent geopolitical uncertainty. While cooler temperatures are beginning to reduce U.S. cooling demand in some regions, the global LNG market remains tightly focused on supply security heading into winter. This Week's Main Drivers: The EIA reported a +33 Bcf natural gas storage injection this week—bearish versus last year's +13 Bcf build and the 5-year average of +23 Bcf.

Timothy Beggans
6 days ago2 min read


Will Summer Doldrums Lead to Winter Volatility?
Source: WXCharts.com Natural gas markets have become increasingly comfortable with lower prices. Storage injections remain healthy, summer demand is beginning to ease, and many traders have embraced the bearish narrative. But when everyone is on the same side of the trade, it often pays to ask: what could change? Several developing trends suggest today's complacency could give way to a much different winter. Meteorologists continue to monitor the evolution of a potential Supe

Timothy Beggans
Aug 82 min read


Mid-Week Natural Gas Report - September Futures (NGU26 @ 2.677) | 08.05.2026
Timestamps 0:00 - Market Update: September Natural Gas Futures 0:20 - Storage Expectations and RSI Analysis 1:00 - Hourly Chart: Daily Pivot and Support Levels 1:20 - April-October Strip & El Niño Storage Concerns 1:51 - ERCOT Power Grid: Renewables vs. Natural Gas Mix 2:21 - Regional Volatility: PJM, MISO, and NYISO Price Spikes 2:48 - U.S. Weather Outlook: 6-14 Day Temperature Forecasts 3:23 - Extreme Heat Risk: Regional Impact Assessments 4:31 - Global Markets: Japan/Korea

Timothy Beggans
Aug 52 min read


NG/LNG - This Week's Main Drivers and the Look Ahead | 8.2.26
Global natural gas markets remain increasingly driven by geopolitics, weather, and LNG infrastructure reliability. While U.S. storage remains healthy, tightening global supply risks continue to support longer-term volatility. This Week's Main Drivers • EIA Storage: +28 Bcf, below the +36 Bcf consensus, signaling balanced supply despite strong summer demand. • August NYMEX Expiration: The August natural gas contract settled at $2.725/MMBtu, keeping pressure on producers while

Timothy Beggans
Aug 22 min read


Could a Super El Niño Rewrite the Natural Gas Outlook for the Next 12 Months?
Source: NOAA Most natural gas traders are focused on storage, LNG exports, and geopolitics. But one of the biggest market drivers over the next year may already be forming in the Pacific. NOAA's latest outlook indicates a 97% probability that El Niño persists through early spring 2027, with an 81% chance of strengthening into a very strong event. If history is any guide, a Super El Niño could reshape weather patterns well beyond this winter. For natural gas markets, the first

Timothy Beggans
Aug 12 min read


Mid-Week Natural Gas Report - August Futures (NGQ26 @ 2.928) 07.22.2026
Timestamps 01:06 Storage Expectations & Bullish/Bearish Scenarios 01:31 April-October Strip & Injection Season Analysis 02:02 Electricity Market & ERCOT Record Load 02:44 US Grid Volatility & Regional Pricing (PJM, ISO-NE, SPP) 03:24 Temperature Outlook: 8-14 Day Forecast 03:39 Extreme Heat Risk Maps & Tropical Storm Bertha Impact 04:40 Heat Index Projections for Texas & Midwest 05:37 European Weather Outlook & First Week of August Forecast 06:28 EU Gas Storage Levels & Regio

Timothy Beggans
Jul 222 min read


Daily Natural Gas Report - August Futures (NGQ26 @ 2.856) | 07.21.2026
Timestamps 00:00 Introduction and Current Market Prices 00:24 Technical Analysis: RSI and Conflicting Signals 00:47 Tropical Storm Bertha and Demand Impact 00:57 Hourly Chart: Support and Resistance Levels 01:36 April-October Strip and Super El Niño Outlook 01:59 ERCOT Power Demand and Fuel Mix Update 02:38 National Grid Electricity Price Spikes 03:07 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook (US and Europe) 03:32 Heat Risk and Humidity Forecast 04:24 European AI Weather Model (August 5th

Timothy Beggans
Jul 212 min read


Natural Gas Weekly Recap - August Futures (NGQ26 @ 2.895) | 07.17.2026
Timestamps 0:00 - Intro & August Spot Contract Update 0:35 - Hourly Chart & Technical Analysis (RSI) 0:49 - Current Weather & Heat Index Impacts 1:12 - EIA Storage Report Analysis 1:35 - April-October Injection Strip for 2027 2:10 - ERCOT Market: Wind, Solar, and Fuel Mix 2:36 - US Power Grid & Regional Pain Points (PJM, MISO, SPP) 3:07 - 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook 3:35 - National Heat Risk & Extreme Heat Forecast 4:22 - Long-Range Heat Index Model (July 24th Onward) 5:11 -

Timothy Beggans
Jul 172 min read


Mid-Week Natural Gas Report - August Futures (NGQ26 @ 2.879) | 07.15.2026
Timestamps: 00:00 - Market Overview: August Futures & RSI Analysis 00:38 - Storage Report Expectations (BCF Forecasts) 00:56 - Hourly Chart: Pivot Points & Resistance Targets 01:28 - Strip Analysis: Novi March & El Niño Concerns 01:50 - Electricity Markets: ERCOT Demand & Fuel Mix 02:36 - Power Market Pain Thresholds: PJM, MISO, & NYISO 03:12 - 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook & Heat Risk 05:30 - Global Markets: Dutch TTF & European Storage Updates 07:17 - Asia Weather Anomaly Ma

Timothy Beggans
Jul 152 min read


Daily Natural Gas Report - August Futures (NGQ26 @ 2.877) | 07.14.2026
Timestamps 00:00 – Market Update: August Futures & Pivot System Analysis 01:04 – Front-to-Back Spreads: Jan vs. Oct Injection Spread 01:31 – ERCOT Grid: Rain Impacts on Renewables & Natural Gas Demand 02:12 – Regional Power Markets: MISO, NYISO, SPP, and PJM Analysis 02:42 – 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook & Extreme Heat Risk Maps 04:54 – International Spreads: JKM vs. TTF & Typhoon Bavi Impact 05:23 – European Storage Levels: EU, Belgium, UK, and Germany Reports 06:35 – Asia Ma

Timothy Beggans
Jul 142 min read


Why Isn't Natural Gas Rallying? The Market Is Ignoring the Heat...For Now
Source: NWS HeatRisk Map Record-breaking heat across much of the U.S. would normally be a recipe for significantly higher natural gas prices. Instead, the market remains stuck in a well-defined trading range. Why? Several bearish fundamentals continue to offset the surge in power demand. LNG feedgas demand has been lower than expected as maintenance limits export capacity. At the same time, renewable generation has remained strong, while nuclear and coal plants continue to pr

Timothy Beggans
Jul 112 min read


Mid-Week Natural Gas Report - August Futures (NGQ26 @ 3.278) | 07.08.2026
Timestamps 00:00 – Market Open & August Futures Update 00:48 – Hourly Chart Analysis & Support Levels 01:20 – Spread Analysis: Jan vs. Oct & Nov-March Strips 02:22 – Super El Niño Concerns & Long-term Outlook 02:27 – 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook & Heat Risk Maps 04:04 – Heat Index Models & Regional Relief 04:55 – ERCOT Power Market & Renewable Energy Share 05:25 – Regional Power Grid Stress (SPP, MISO, PJM) 05:44 – Geopolitical Impact: Strait of Hormuz & LNG Tanker Incidents

Timothy Beggans
Jul 82 min read


What's New in Natural Gas - August Futures (NGQ26 @ 3.224) | 07.06.2026
Timestamps 00:00 – Introduction and Natural Gas News Overview 00:49 – Technical Analysis: August Spot Contract & Daily Pivot 02:13 – Winter Injection Strip (Nov-Mar) Analysis 02:46 – ERCOT Fuel Mix: Wind Capacity vs. Natural Gas Demand 03:20 – U.S. Electrical Grid Performance (PJM & MISO) 03:58 – 8-14 Day Temperature Outlook & Heat Risk Maps 04:56 – European vs. GFS Weather Model Comparison 06:35 – Global LNG Updates: Qatar & Force Majeure Status 07:11 – European Market Updat

Timothy Beggans
Jul 62 min read


Mid-Week Natural Gas Report - August Futures (NGQ26 @ 3.213) | 07.01.2026
Timestamps 0:00 – Introduction & Market Snapshot (August Futures) 0:21 – Storage Expectations & Bearish Trends 0:42 – Hourly Chart Analysis & Support Levels 1:03 – Front-to-Back Spreads & Winter Strip 1:47 – ERCOT Grid Demand & Renewables Mix 2:17 – Power Price Analysis (PJM, MISO, NYISO) 2:52 – US Weather Map: Extreme Heat Index 3:36 – Heat Risk Forecast (States Impacted) 4:28 – European Market: Temperature Anomalies & Storage 5:31 – Asia Weather Outlook 5:58 – Global LNG Up

Timothy Beggans
Jul 12 min read


NG/LNG - This Week's Main Drivers and the Look Ahead | 06.28.2026
Source: EIA Natural gas and LNG markets navigated a week of competing bullish and bearish signals as traders balanced summer weather, LNG growth, geopolitical developments, and quarter-end positioning. This Week's Main Drivers: 1. July Contract Expiration and Holiday Trading The expiration of the July NYMEX contract and the upcoming July 4th holiday weekend contributed to heightened volatility and position squaring across energy markets. 2. Heat Arrives, But Demand Remains Un

Timothy Beggans
Jun 282 min read


Daily Natural Gas Report - July Futures (NGN26 @ 3.159) | 06.18.2026
Timestamps 00:00 - Introduction & Storage Day Expectations 00:28 - July Spot Contract Analysis (RSI & Hourly Chart) 01:02 - Injection Spreads: Jan vs. Oct 01:23 - Novi through March Strip Analysis 01:43 - 8 to 14 Day Weather Outlook (U.S. Temperature) 02:12 - Global Tropical Hazard Outlook & GFS Model 03:34 - Remnants of Tropical Storm Arthur & Drought Map 04:26 - Saharan Air Layer & ERCOT Grid Load Records 04:56 - Nuclear Fleet Update: South Texas Unit 2 Outage 05:11 - PJM &

Timothy Beggans
Jun 182 min read


NG/LNG – This Week’s Main Drivers and the Look Ahead | 05.03.2026
Source: NOAA/Climate Prediction Center This Week Natural gas markets remained volatile, driven by a mix of bearish storage data and supportive demand signals. EIA Storage Report: The latest build came in near expectations at +79 Bcf, following the prior week’s +103 Bcf injection, reinforcing a loose supply backdrop with inventories now well above the five-year average. Storage Surplus: Total inventories have expanded to ~2.1 Tcf, maintaining a meaningful cushion heading into

Timothy Beggans
May 32 min read


NG/LNG - This Week’s Main Drivers and the Look Ahead
Source: NOAA This week in natural gas and LNG delivered a sharp mix of bullish fundamentals and geopolitical disruption. A strong storage report (-54 Bcf) came in well below both last year’s +33 Bcf build and the five-year average of -21 Bcf, reinforcing a tightening supply backdrop. At the same time, the Iran conflict appears to be entering a terminal phase—but not before materially impacting global LNG flows. Qatar has declared force majeure on roughly 17% of its output fol

Timothy Beggans
Mar 292 min read


Canada’s LNG Surge: The Race to Supply Asia Is No Longer Theoretical
Source: Canadian Energy Regulator The global LNG race is accelerating—and Canada is finally moving from promise to execution. For Asia, the strategic shift is clear: diversify supply. Recent disruptions have reinforced the need to reduce reliance on concentrated exporters. Canada is increasingly positioned as a core pillar in that pivot. But the real story today is project status—and it’s changing fast. Canada is no longer just a pipeline of ideas: LNG Canada, Kitimat: Now op

Timothy Beggans
Mar 282 min read


NG/LNG: This Week’s Main Drivers — And the Look Ahead
Source: By Matthew Smith @ Flickr - https://www.flickr.com/photos/96701339@N04/39650222120/, CC BY 2.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=83823860 Global natural gas markets have shifted abruptly from a winter weather narrative to a geopolitical one. As of mid-March 2026, escalating conflict in the Middle East has triggered one of the most volatile weeks for LNG markets in years, exposing the growing link between geopolitics, LNG trade flows, and regional gas pr

Timothy Beggans
Mar 152 min read
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