top of page
Energy Consultancy | Wellhead to Global LNG, Sustainability and AI


China’s LNG Futures Gambit: Redrawing the Rules of Global Gas Trade
Source: Shanghai Futures Exchange China is taking a decisive step toward reshaping global LNG pricing with plans to introduce LNG futures on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE). For the world’s largest LNG importer, this is about far more than financial innovation—it’s about control, transparency, and strategic leverage. Who benefits most? Chinese domestic LNG importers gain a powerful new hedging tool tied to local demand fundamentals. A yuan-denominated LNG contract reduce

Timothy Beggans
2 days ago2 min read


Japan’s LNG Storage Strategy: Building a Shock Absorber for a Volatile World
Source: JERA Japan is quietly reshaping the global LNG market by expanding storage capacity—and the reasons go far beyond winter demand. At the core is energy security. Japan imports nearly all of its natural gas, yet lacks a fully connected national pipeline system. LNG storage tanks function as the country’s primary buffer, ensuring power and industrial continuity when global supply chains falter. Storage is also becoming an economic shock absorber. With LNG prices increasi

Timothy Beggans
3 days ago1 min read


Fern Ignites a Perfect Storm for Natural Gas Volatility
Source: www.pivotalweather.com Winter Storm Fern is barreling into the South, threatening millions with a dangerous mix of ice, snow, and high winds. Power outages and travel disruptions are likely—but for energy markets, the bigger story may be the volatility ahead. Natural gas is entering a high-risk week with multiple catalysts converging at once. Options expire Tuesday, futures expire Wednesday, and the EIA storage report on Thursday is widely expected to post a new all-t

Timothy Beggans
Jan 241 min read


Golden Pass LNG: When Supply Arrives Before the Ships
Source: Golden Pass Pipeline Golden Pass LNG was expected to begin loading its first cargoes from Train 1 as early as February 2026. Instead, the project appears to be moving through commissioning more slowly than many market participants had penciled in, pushing meaningful volumes further out on the calendar. That timing matters. U.S. dry natural gas production has climbed to roughly 113 Bcf/d, as producers positioned supply in anticipation of new LNG demand—Golden Pass bein

Timothy Beggans
Jan 182 min read


Why Data Centers Are Paying the Power Bill — And What It Signals for Investors
Source: Microsoft As electricity prices rise and communities push back against energy-intensive infrastructure, data centers are becoming a political hot potato. Microsoft just made a decisive move to cool tensions: it announced plans to cover electricity costs tied to its data centers, fund grid upgrades, and replenish more water than its facilities consume — insulating retail customers from AI-driven power demand. This isn’t charity; it’s risk management. Across the U.S., u

Timothy Beggans
Jan 172 min read


Fog Majeure: When Weather, Not Contracts, Stops LNG Flow
Source: GROK Force Majeure usually points to hurricanes or mechanical failures. But along the U.S. Gulf Coast, a quieter risk is emerging—“Fog Majeure.” This term captures a growing operational reality: LNG terminals can be physically unable to move cargo when dense sea fog shuts down tanker traffic, even when demand is strong and contracts are firm. Why it happens Gulf of Mexico sea fog is most prevalent in winter. It forms when warm, moist air flows over cooler shelf waters

Timothy Beggans
Jan 112 min read


Europe’s Gas Alarm Bells: Why U.S. LNG Is Back in the Spotlight
Source: Samsung Heavy Industries Europe is starting 2026 with a growing energy vulnerability. Natural gas storage levels across the EU have slipped below 60%, with Gazprom data showing inventories at just 58.1% as of January 6. Germany—the region’s largest gas consumer—is in an even tighter position at 54.1%, well below last year’s levels. The drawdown has been swift. EU storage is 10.7 bcm lower than January 2025, driven by a powerful Arctic outbreak now gripping the contine

Timothy Beggans
Jan 102 min read


Hidden Liquidity: How Natural Gas Block Trades Move Markets Without Making Noise
Source: www.cmegroup.com In fast-moving energy markets, some of the most consequential trades never hit the screen in real time. Natural Gas block trades are one such mechanism—quiet, efficient, and critical for managing scale. A block trade is a privately negotiated futures or options transaction executed away from the public order book, then submitted to an exchange like CME Group for clearing. For Henry Hub Natural Gas futures (NG), the minimum threshold is typically 50 co

Timothy Beggans
Jan 41 min read


Unlocking Futures Secrets: How TAS Can Signal Price Swings
Source: www.barchart.com In the fast-paced world of futures trading, Trade at Settlement (TAS) is a powerful but often underappreciated tool. TAS allows market participants to buy or sell eligible futures contracts during the trading session at the official settlement price, plus or minus a small predefined spread (typically a few ticks, depending on the contract). Offered by exchanges such as CME Group and ICE, TAS removes the need to chase intraday price moves. For traders

Timothy Beggans
Jan 32 min read


Why the EIA Storage Report Moves Markets
Source: EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report The weekly EIA Natural Gas Storage Report is one of the most market-moving data releases in U.S. energy. For traders, it is not just about how many BCF were injected or withdrawn—it’s about flexibility, location, and future risk. The U.S. relies on three types of natural gas storage, each with different implications for price volatility: Salt Dome Storage Primarily located along the Gulf Coast, salt caverns offer extremely high de

Timothy Beggans
Jan 12 min read


April–October 2026 NG strip poised for further upside
Source: www.tradingview.com Last year’s April–October natural gas strip quietly set the stage. Priced near ~$3.600/MMBtu at the start of the year, it looked benign—until winter arrived. As cold weather emerged in January 2025, the strip first rallied to $3.994, pulled back to $3.390, and then ultimately surged to $5.120/MMBtu. Markets don’t repeat, but they do rhyme. The question now: is the April–October 2026 strip winding up for another outsized move to the upside? The answ

Timothy Beggans
Dec 30, 20251 min read


Energy Transfer pivots away from LNG exports
Source: Google Maps (Lake Charles LNG facility) Energy Transfer’s decision to step back from the Lake Charles LNG export project is telling. ET had lined up two large off-takers, yet sought equity partners to absorb roughly 80% of the project risk. When that structure failed to clear, management chose to pivot—redirecting capital toward U.S. data center growth and other domestic demand opportunities rather than doubling down on LNG exports. This raises a timely question: is t

Timothy Beggans
Dec 23, 20252 min read


Heat Miser vs. Freeze Miser… who’s winning?
Source: www.WXcharts.com As December 2025 unfolds, the U.S. weather pattern feels familiar—but not identical—to what we experienced in January 2025. The same climate “players” are on the field, yet their alignment is subtly different, shifting the balance between warmth and cold. Below is a side-by-side snapshot of the key atmospheric drivers. Climate Indices: Then vs. Now ENSO • Mid-Dec 2025: Weak La Niña continues • Jan 2025: La Niña firmly in place Arctic Oscillation (AO)

Timothy Beggans
Dec 18, 20252 min read


Leveraged Energy ETFs: Powerful, High Volatility Tools
Source: www.tradingview.com Leveraged energy ETFs attract traders for one reason: amplified moves. Funds like ERX and GUSH deliver 2x daily exposure, which means they can outperform dramatically in strong trends—but they are far more volatile than the underlying futures or equities they track. The instruments ERX – Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares Targets twice the daily return of the Energy Select Sector Index, dominated by integrated majors, refiners, and oilfield serv

Timothy Beggans
Dec 16, 20252 min read


Understanding Spark, Dark, Clean-Spark & Clean-Dark Spreads: Why They Matter in Power & Energy Markets
Source: Tradingview.com (ERCOT North Spark Spread) In energy markets, spreads such as spark and dark (and their “clean” variants) reveal the economic incentives for power-plant dispatch. They also act as support or resistance levels for underlying fuels — especially natural gas. Spark Spread The spark spread measures the theoretical margin for a gas-fired generator. Formula: Spark Spread = Electricity Price − (Natural Gas Price × Heat Rate) Dark Spread The dark spread applie

Timothy Beggans
Dec 11, 20252 min read


Operational Flow Orders: Why They Matter for Pipeline Reliability
Source: www.pivotalweather.com Pipeline systems depend on balance—too much gas in or too much taken out can threaten pressure, integrity, and firm service. That’s why operators issue Operational Flow Orders (OFOs), a critical tool to stabilize system conditions during stress. Why OFOs Are Called OFOs typically arise when linepack is tight, weather spikes demand, storage swings are limited, or shippers’ receipts and deliveries drift out of balance. When these conditions thr

Timothy Beggans
Dec 9, 20251 min read


China’s LNG Pause: A Market Reset, Not a Collapse
Source: IEA After years as the driver of global LNG growth, China has eased off the throttle in 2025. Imports have slipped as domestic gas production rises, pipeline flows from Russia expand, industrial demand softens, and rapid renewable additions cut into gas-fired power. Cargoes once destined for China are increasingly redirected to Europe, Japan, South Korea, and emerging Asia. The Positives • Price relief: A major supply wave from the U.S., Qatar, and others arriving 20

Timothy Beggans
Dec 2, 20251 min read


The Data Center Slowdown: Why Power, Water, and Rising Bills Are Rewriting Growth Plans
Source: Xai (Colossus site) After years of breakneck expansion, some of the nation’s largest data-center markets — including Virginia and parts of PJM — are showing signs of cooling demand. Not because tech is slowing, but because power, water, and retail rate pressure are forcing a rethink. In northern Virginia, long the epicenter of hyperscale development, utilities and regulators are signaling that future growth cannot rely on unlimited access to cheap electricity and wate

Timothy Beggans
Nov 27, 20252 min read


Hedging Strategies in Natural Gas: Swaps, Costless Collars, and Three-way Collars
Source: Elk Trading Company LLC Natural gas producers operate in a landscape shaped by weather volatility, LNG-driven baseload demand, and shifting production growth. In this environment, hedging isn’t a luxury—it’s fundamental risk management. While structures evolve with market conditions, three tools dominate E&P portfolios: swaps, costless collars, and three-way collars. Each carries a different balance of protection, opportunity, and complexity. Swaps The most widely use

Timothy Beggans
Nov 25, 20252 min read


The Fog of War, Fractures and Rifts: How Will the Energy Markets React?
Source: Twitter (X) In recent weeks, a swirl of geopolitics—from Iran to China to Russia—is casting a growing shadow over global energy markets. These tensions aren’t just headlines; they’re potential inflection points for risk premiums, upstream disruptions, and price volatility. Iran: Drought, Crackdowns & Tanker Seizures Iran is grappling with a historic drought, rising internal unrest, and the seizure of a Marshall Islands–flagged oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz. Becau

Timothy Beggans
Nov 20, 20252 min read
bottom of page





