top of page
Energy Consultancy | Wellhead to Global LNG, Sustainability and AI


China’s LNG Futures Gambit: Redrawing the Rules of Global Gas Trade
Source: Shanghai Futures Exchange China is taking a decisive step toward reshaping global LNG pricing with plans to introduce LNG futures on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE). For the world’s largest LNG importer, this is about far more than financial innovation—it’s about control, transparency, and strategic leverage. Who benefits most? Chinese domestic LNG importers gain a powerful new hedging tool tied to local demand fundamentals. A yuan-denominated LNG contract reduce

Timothy Beggans
3 days ago2 min read


The probability of conflict: How predictive markets reflect geopolitical realities
Source: GROK Predictive markets are increasingly shaping how analysts interpret geopolitical risk—often offering clearer, faster signals than traditional intelligence channels. Nowhere is this more evident than in markets tracking the probability of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan. Platforms like Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, and Metaculus aggregate thousands of independent forecasts. While each uses different mechanisms, all point to the same broad takeaway: low near-term proba

Timothy Beggans
Dec 4, 20252 min read


The Fog of War, Fractures and Rifts: How Will the Energy Markets React?
Source: Twitter (X) In recent weeks, a swirl of geopolitics—from Iran to China to Russia—is casting a growing shadow over global energy markets. These tensions aren’t just headlines; they’re potential inflection points for risk premiums, upstream disruptions, and price volatility. Iran: Drought, Crackdowns & Tanker Seizures Iran is grappling with a historic drought, rising internal unrest, and the seizure of a Marshall Islands–flagged oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz. Becau

Timothy Beggans
Nov 20, 20252 min read


Natural Gas Big Picture Outlook – Monthly Update August 2025
Source: ChatGPT The global natural gas market is navigating a mix of bullish and bearish signals as we move through late summer 2025:...

Timothy Beggans
Aug 26, 20251 min read
bottom of page





