Mid-Week Natural Gas Report - October Futures (NGV26 @ 2.936) | 09.16.2026
Tim Beggans covers October holding above the 13- and 48-period EMAs without a crossover, LNG slipping vs lingering heat, tomorrow’s storage print, the February winter contract, ERCOT and national grid demand, a central-U.S. heat chimney into early October, Europe/UK storage (Rough empty), quiet Hormuz with one Qatar loader, Cameron down a train, tropics and Saharan dust, and the E&P watch list.
Contract / levels:
October near 2.923–2.936, up a few ticks
Above the 13- and 48-period EMAs (no bullish crossover yet)
Daily pivot ~2.914
First resistance ~2.957
Storage (tomorrow):
Expected +42 to +50 Bcf
Last year +87 / 5-year average +74 (historically bullish this week and next)
NG Stock Watch List Oil & Gas EMP Sector
Market Cap 2-10B, High short float over 10%
BKV | CNX | CRGY | CRK | LB | MTDR | NOG
Timestamps
0:00 – Open: October barely bid; EMAs above, no crossover
0:44 – Hourly pivot, first resistance & RSI
1:03 – Storage preview (+42 to +50 vs +87 / +74)
1:26 – February contract & El Niño / Southeast cold risk
2:00 – ERCOT load, low wind, gas share of fuel mix
2:33 – National grid (ERCOT, PJM, MISO)
3:04 – U.S. heat-risk maps
3:56 – Extended models; heat chimney Texas to Canada
5:03 – 6-10 day & 8-14 day outlooks
5:30 – Europe weather
6:38 – EU / UK (Rough empty) / Germany storage
7:22 – UK NBP November
7:52 – Asia weather & temperatures
9:08 – Qatar loader; quiet Hormuz
9:36 – Cameron one-train outage
10:13 – Other U.S. LNG terminals
11:16 – Tropics: 30% Mid-Atlantic system
12:08 – Hazard outlook & Saharan dust
12:35 – E&P watch list
12:50 – Recap, Thursday storage, close
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