Daily Natural Gas Report - October Futures (NGV26 @ 2.883) | 09.15.2026
Tim Beggans covers the October bounce toward a 13/48 EMA crossover, lingering record-warm September heat, Thursday’s storage setup, the Feb–Mar “widow maker” spread, ERCOT and national grid demand, Europe/UK storage gaps, JKM vs TTF for November cargos, quiet Hormuz, mixed U.S. LNG feedgas (Cameron off), a 40% Mid-Atlantic tropical watch (possible Fay), Saharan dust, Java Trench activity, and the E&P watch list.
Contract / levels:
October near 2.924–2.941, up ~3–5¢
Testing a 13/48 EMA crossover (needs strong closes)
Daily pivot ~2.885
First resistance ~2.922
Second resistance ~2.947
Storage (Thursday):
Expected +42 to +50 Bcf
Last year +87 / 5-year average +74 (historically bullish this week and next)
NG Stock Watch List Oil & Gas EMP Sector
Market Cap 2-10B, High short float over 10%
BKV | CNX | CRGY | CRK | LB | MTDR | NOG
Timestamps
0:00 – Open: October bid, RSI, 13/48 EMA watch
0:58 – Hourly pivot, first & second resistance
1:24 – Storage preview (+42 to +50 vs +87 / +74)
1:48 – Feb–Mar widow-maker spread & El Niño fade
2:50 – ERCOT load, renewables, gas share of fuel mix
3:25 – National grid (MISO, PJM, ERCOT)
4:02 – U.S. heat-risk maps
5:04 – Extended models; heat trapped in the South
5:38 – 6-10 day & 8-14 day outlooks
6:03 – Europe weather
6:40 – EU / France / Germany / UK / Netherlands storage
8:02 – November JKM vs TTF
8:29 – Asia temperatures & forecast
9:43 – Ras Laffan docked tanker; quiet Hormuz
10:08 – U.S. LNG terminals (Cameron pullback)
11:42 – Tropics: 40% system, possible Fay
12:36 – Hazard outlook & Saharan dust
13:13 – Java Trench / Indonesia
13:33 – E&P watch list
13:54 – Recap, Thursday storage, close
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