Source: GROK Force Majeure usually points to hurricanes or mechanical failures. But along the U.S. Gulf Coast, a quieter risk is emerging—“Fog Majeure.” This term captures a growing operational reality: LNG terminals can be physically unable to move cargo when dense sea fog shuts down tanker traffic, even when demand is strong and contracts are firm. Why it happens Gulf of Mexico sea fog is most prevalent in winter. It forms when warm, moist air flows over cooler shelf waters

Source: www.cmegroup.com In fast-moving energy markets, some of the most consequential trades never hit the screen in real time. Natural Gas block trades are one such mechanism—quiet, efficient, and critical for managing scale. A block trade is a privately negotiated futures or options transaction executed away from the public order book, then submitted to an exchange like CME Group for clearing. For Henry Hub Natural Gas futures (NG), the minimum threshold is typically 50 co

Source: www.barchart.com In the fast-paced world of futures trading, Trade at Settlement (TAS) is a powerful but often underappreciated tool. TAS allows market participants to buy or sell eligible futures contracts during the trading session at the official settlement price, plus or minus a small predefined spread (typically a few ticks, depending on the contract). Offered by exchanges such as CME Group and ICE, TAS removes the need to chase intraday price moves. For traders

Source: www.tradingview.com Leveraged energy ETFs attract traders for one reason: amplified moves. Funds like ERX and GUSH deliver 2x daily exposure, which means they can outperform dramatically in strong trends—but they are far more volatile than the underlying futures or equities they track. The instruments ERX – Direxion Daily Energy Bull 2X Shares Targets twice the daily return of the Energy Select Sector Index, dominated by integrated majors, refiners, and oilfield serv

Source: Elk Trading Company LLC Natural gas producers operate in a landscape shaped by weather volatility, LNG-driven baseload demand, and shifting production growth. In this environment, hedging isn’t a luxury—it’s fundamental risk management. While structures evolve with market conditions, three tools dominate E&P portfolios: swaps, costless collars, and three-way collars. Each carries a different balance of protection, opportunity, and complexity. Swaps The most widely use

Source: Pivotal Weather (December 1, 2025) As we turn toward the tail end of the year, the energy derivatives market is flashing clear signals of concern—and opportunity. Both December and January call-option activity on the CME Group’s energy complex show elevated volume in deep out-of-the-money (OTM) strikes, pointing to traders hedging for upside exposure amid a potential cold snap. Here’s what’s driving the shift: Recent weather-model runs from both the GFS (Global Foreca

Source: Elk Trading Company LLC The natural gas market is heading into a new era of volatility. As U.S. LNG exports and data centers surge, the share of baseload  (24/7/365) demand continues to grow — permanently altering the balance of flexibility that has historically smoothed seasonal swings. This shift means the remaining variable components of demand—industrial, residential, and power generation—will become more reactive to even minor shifts in weather, pipeline constrai

Source: GROK Energy markets expose a fundamental flaw in human decision-making: we misjudge risk. Daniel Kahneman, in Thinking, Fast and Slow, explains how our fast, emotional “System 1” often overrides deliberate reasoning. Nassim Taleb’s Antifragile trilogy adds that systems built on false stability eventually collapse under volatility. Together, they explain why billion-dollar energy failures keep repeating. Kahneman’s Cognitive Traps Anchoring Bias : After the 2014 oil cr

Source: Tradingview.com Natural gas futures are firming. The prompt contract has rebounded from recent lows, supported by...

Source: Randall Ruiz In 1983, two legendary CME traders made a bet that would become one of the most iconic experiments in financial...

Source: ChatGPT Climate change is no longer a distant threat—it’s a present-day reality. With weather disasters costing $145 billion in...

When considering a Power Purchase Agreement (PPA), it's essential to understand how the energy source impacts the contract structure,...