Source: EIA This Week's Main Drivers: EIA storage rose 85 BCF, versus +77 BCF last year and the five-year average of +96 BCF—a bullish comparison despite the sizable injection. Henry Hub gyrated between $2.912 and $3.298/MMBtu, as pipeline maintenance, lower Northeast production and weak wind generation tightened regional supply and supported prices. Hurricane Isaias became the Atlantic season's first hurricane, threatening Gulf energy infrastructure. Production shut-ins coul

Source: Grok China’s LNG strategy may be shifting just as global markets enter the winter heating season. Reports indicate Beijing has urged its three major state energy companies—CNOOC, PetroChina and Sinopec—to prioritize domestic LNG supplies and curb resales through the winter period. That matters because China has become more than the world’s largest LNG buyer—it has become a significant portfolio trader. IEEFA estimates Chinese companies resold 17–19 million tonnes of L

Tim Beggans covers four headlines on October expiry day: Columbia Gas lifting the MX-P 100 force majeure, thin October open interest, EU storage at ~70% with a month of injections left, and a nor’easter that slammed New Jersey. Also: ERCOT still burning a lot of gas on low wind, a bifurcated U.S. weather map (southern 90s vs Canadian cold into the Plains), the crowded Super El Niño winter channel, UK storage with Rough still empty, JKM off on Hormuz talks, Kitimat’s first wee

Source: EIA This Week's Main Drivers: EIA storage increased +53 BCF, versus +77 BCF last year and +76 BCF for the five-year average. YTD injections remain materially below last year, reinforcing the tighter seasonal setup. October gas broke above $3/MMBtu as Columbia Gas declared Force Majeure on TCO Line 100, impacting roughly 1.8 BCF/D and triggering significant short covering. The U.S. nuclear fleet is entering fall maintenance/refueling, while Cove Point LNG began its ann

Source: To Europe & Beyond The global natural gas market is increasingly divided into two worlds. The U.S. has relatively abundant gas and expanding LNG capacity, while Europe and Asia remain exposed to constrained global LNG supply, geopolitical risk and winter weather. That disconnect is the story — and the risk. Why the Market Has Split U.S. gas remains structurally cheaper because production is strong and LNG export capacity, while expanding, cannot instantly absorb every

Tim Beggans covers an October bounce that is still below the 13- and 48-period EMAs and short of $3, Thursday’s storage setup, ERCOT and national grid demand, lingering Texas heat vs an early-October Canadian cold push, the Jan ’28 vs Apr ’27 injection-season spread at record levels, softer TTF on U.S.–China / Iran talks, EU/UK storage (Rough still empty), Asia weather and Japan Silver Week, quiet Hormuz, U.S. LNG feedgas with Golden Pass ticking higher, Tropical Storm Fay we

Tim Beggans covers four top headlines, October still stuck between the 13- and 48-period EMAs and unable to hold $3, ERCOT and national grid demand, lingering southern heat into early October, EU/UK storage, quiet Hormuz (only ~4% of normal traffic), mixed U.S. LNG feedgas plus a Corpus Christi 2027 outage notice, Tropical Storm Fay weakening in the Mid-Atlantic, ENSO / Hawaii cold pool, and the E&P watch list (MGY back on the board). Top News for Natural Gas: 1.) Tropical S

Tim Beggans opens with a 9/11 remembrance, then recaps October NG after yesterday’s storage print, the bounce off first support, ERCOT and national grid demand, lingering Texas heat vs incoming northern fall, Europe/Asia weather and storage, TTF/JKM January panic with Hormuz still tight, two tankers at Ras Laffan, strong U.S. LNG feedgas, a historically quiet Atlantic, West drought, and the E&P watch list. Contract / levels: October near 2.817–2.824 Below the 13- and 48-perio

Source: EIA This Week’s Main Drivers: The EIA reported a +30 BCF storage injection—right on expectations, but bullish versus +50 BCF last year and the +37 BCF five-year average. The storage surplus to the five-year average continues to narrow. Tropical Storm Edouard delivered heavy rain across East Texas, but had little apparent impact on LNG exports. Meanwhile, low Texas wind generation and weaker solar output increased gas-fired power demand, while the South Central salt-st

Tim Beggans recaps the week in October NG: holding the 13-period EMA, no 13/48 crossover yet, yesterday’s +30 Bcf storage print, a tightening surplus vs last year and the 5-year average, the Jan–Oct injection spread, cooler ERCOT after Edouard, national heat and power prices, Europe/UK storage and weather swings, Asia cooling, U.S. LNG loadings (including Plaquemines and Golden Pass), tropics, West drought, NOAA’s strong El Niño outlook, and the E&P watch list. Contract / lev

Tim Beggans covers the October contract selloff as Tropical Storm Edward approaches landfall between Beaumont and Houston, lower ERCOT load, battery charge/discharge on the Texas grid, national power-price volatility, the Jan–Oct spread, lingering U.S. heat into mid-September, Europe/Asia weather and storage, Hormuz tanker traffic, U.S. LNG feedgas around the storm track, and the E&P watch list. Contract / levels: October near 2.857–2.872, down ~6–8¢ Testing the 13-period EMA

Tim Beggans covers the top headlines, October price action, last week’s storage print, ERCOT and national grid demand, wind pickup across the Plains, lingering U.S. heat into mid-September, Europe/Asia weather and storage, U.S. LNG loadings, Tropical Storm Dolly remnants plus a 70% Gulf system off Louisiana, West drought, and the E&P watch list. **Top news:** 1. Iran–U.S. exchange of fire — crude and gas bid higher 2. Venture Global CP2 clears a legal hurdle 3. CNOOC signal

This Week's Main Drivers: Storage: EIA reported a +15 Bcf injection, versus +17 Bcf last year and the +33 Bcf 5-year average—another bullish signal for near-term gas demand. Texas heat: Excessive heat remains locked into Texas into September. Low wind generation is adding to ERCOT gas burn, while South Central salt storage drew 20 Bcf this week, potentially setting up another large draw next week. Global LNG: Qatar is cutting government spending by as much as 30% as the Iran

Tim Beggans recaps September expiration, the first day of October as front month, yesterday’s EIA storage print, ERCOT heat and fuel mix, national power-price volatility, the Jan–Oct injection spread, lingering U.S. heat into early September, JKM/Europe/Asia weather and storage, Ras Laffan still offline, U.S. LNG feedgas, Tropical Storm Dolly, West drought, and the E&P watch list. Contract / levels: October near 2.880–2.889, down ~2.5¢ Above the 13-period EMA, below the 48-pe

Tim Beggans covers the September contract rally into storage day, technical levels, ERCOT heat and low wind, national power-price volatility, the Jan–Oct injection spread, expanding U.S. heat risk, Europe/Asia weather and storage, Ras Laffan still offline, U.S. LNG feedgas, Invest 96L / potential Hurricane Dolly, a Louisiana spaceport note, and the E&P watch list. Contract / levels: Trading near 2.923–2.937, up ~8–9.5¢ Clear of the 48-period EMA Above daily pivot 2.846 Cleare

Tim Beggans covers the bounce in the September contract, key technical levels, tomorrow’s storage print, ERCOT heat-driven gas burn, the Jan–Oct storage spread, expanding U.S. heat risk, Europe/Asia weather and storage, Ras Laffan still offline, U.S. LNG terminal feedgas, and a quiet Atlantic tropics update. Contract / levels: Trading near 2.839, up ~6.9¢ (~2.5%) Approaching 48-period EMA ~2.873 Above daily pivot 2.757 First resistance now support ~2.817 Testing toward ~2.865

Tim Beggans breaks down the September natural gas contract, technical levels, power grid demand (especially ERCOT heat), storage spreads, multi-week temperature outlooks across the U.S., Europe, and Asia, plus the latest on global LNG flows with the Strait of Hormuz still disrupted and U.S. terminals ramping. Key levels watched: Below daily pivot 2.829 First support 2.767 (now resistance) 50% level ~2.733 Secondary support 2.699 Highlights: Strong ERCOT gas burn on extreme he

Tim Beggans, President of Elk Trading Company, reviews the latest Goldman Sachs Exchanges discussion with Samantha Dart (Co-Head of Global Commodities Research) on the European natural gas crisis, Qatari LNG disruptions, and what it means for the U.S. market heading into winter. Key topics covered: Seasonality of natural gas demand and why winter is the critical deadline Current U.S. storage and production strength vs. Europe’s inventory shortfall Damage to Qatari LNG trains

Source: EIA This Week’s Main Drivers: The U.S. natural gas market continues to balance strong summer demand against growing winter uncertainty. EIA storage increased 36 Bcf, slightly above the 32 Bcf expectation, compared with 49 Bcf last year and the 33 Bcf five-year average. The injection keeps storage fundamentals relatively comfortable, but the weather outlook is becoming more complicated. Strait of Hormuz traffic has fallen to a three-month low, keeping global energy sec

Source: Severe Weather Europe What if the biggest natural-gas weather surprise of Winter 2026–27 comes after the holidays? The Super El Niño story is getting harder to ignore. NOAA’s latest August 13 update says El Niño is strengthening, with greater than a 90% chance of a very strong event this fall and winter—and a 69% probability that October–December reaches historic strength, exceeding El Niño events going back to 1950. (Climate Prediction Center) But here’s where the wi