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Energy Consultancy | Wellhead to Global LNG, Sustainability and AI


NG/LNG - This Week's Main Drivers and the Look Ahead | 9.6.26
Source: EIA This Week’s Main Drivers: The EIA reported a +30 BCF storage injection—right on expectations, but bullish versus +50 BCF last year and the +37 BCF five-year average. The storage surplus to the five-year average continues to narrow. Tropical Storm Edouard delivered heavy rain across East Texas, but had little apparent impact on LNG exports. Meanwhile, low Texas wind generation and weaker solar output increased gas-fired power demand, while the South Central salt-st

Timothy Beggans
Sep 62 min read


India vs. China LNG in 2026: Two Asian Giants, Two Very Different Demand Signals
Source: Marine Traffic China remains the larger LNG importer, with 2026 imports projected at roughly 61–64 million MT, versus 28–29 million MT for India. But the more important story this year is how differently the two markets responded to the Iran-US conflict and the disruption of Middle Eastern LNG flows. Month-by-Month Jan–Feb: Demand was relatively normal before the conflict. India imported about 4.45 MT combined, while China’s February imports fell to approximately 3.38

Timothy Beggans
Sep 52 min read


NG/LNG - This Week's Main Drivers and the Look Ahead | 8.30.26
This Week's Main Drivers: Storage: EIA reported a +15 Bcf injection, versus +17 Bcf last year and the +33 Bcf 5-year average—another bullish signal for near-term gas demand. Texas heat: Excessive heat remains locked into Texas into September. Low wind generation is adding to ERCOT gas burn, while South Central salt storage drew 20 Bcf this week, potentially setting up another large draw next week. Global LNG: Qatar is cutting government spending by as much as 30% as the Iran

Timothy Beggans
Aug 302 min read


NG/LNG - This Week's Main Drivers and the Look Ahead | 8.23.26
The Week’s Main Drivers: The U.S. natural gas market continues to balance record supply against weather-driven demand and rising LNG exports. • EIA Storage: +16 Bcf injection vs. +19 Bcf last year and the 5-year average of +29 Bcf — a notably bullish storage print. • LNG flows: Spot cargoes are increasingly tracking toward Europe as regional supply risks persist. Norway’s Ormen Lange outage has been extended to February 1, 2027, removing an important source of European supply

Timothy Beggans
Aug 232 min read


NG/LNG - This Week's Main Drivers and the Look Ahead | 8.2.26
Global natural gas markets remain increasingly driven by geopolitics, weather, and LNG infrastructure reliability. While U.S. storage remains healthy, tightening global supply risks continue to support longer-term volatility. This Week's Main Drivers • EIA Storage: +28 Bcf, below the +36 Bcf consensus, signaling balanced supply despite strong summer demand. • August NYMEX Expiration: The August natural gas contract settled at $2.725/MMBtu, keeping pressure on producers while

Timothy Beggans
Aug 22 min read


Europe's Winter Gas Reckoning: Can Low Storage Withstand a New Geopolitical Shock?
Source: Al Jazeera (Yemen) Europe is heading into the 2026-27 heating season with one of its weakest natural gas cushions in years. Storage remains well below last year's level and the five-year average, increasing the likelihood of heightened price volatility if winter demand exceeds expectations. The market's greatest uncertainty isn't just storage—it's geopolitics. Iran continues to use the threat of disrupting the Strait of Hormuz as leverage in negotiations over its nucl

Timothy Beggans
Jul 252 min read


Is Europe Betting on a Mild Winter While U.S. LNG Prepares for the Worst?
Source: NOAA As the calendar moves toward winter, the global natural gas market is quietly shifting from summer injections to winter risk management. Europe enters the second half of the refill season with natural gas storage only 52% full, compared with 60% at the same point last year. Several key countries—including Great Britain, Belgium, and the Netherlands—are sitting at or near five-year storage lows, leaving less margin for error if cold weather arrives early. At the s

Timothy Beggans
Jul 182 min read


NG/LNG This Week's Main Drivers and the Look Ahead | 6.14.26
Source: EIA This Week's Main Drivers: The natural gas market received a mixed set of signals this week. The EIA storage report showed a +108 Bcf injection, essentially neutral versus last year's +110 Bcf build but bearish relative to the five-year average of +95 Bcf. Storage continues to refill at a healthy pace, but upcoming injections are expected to moderate as summer demand increases. Weather remained supportive early in the week, with above-normal temperatures boosting c

Timothy Beggans
Jun 142 min read


NG/LNG – This Week’s Main Drivers and the Look Ahead | 05.10.2026
Source: EIA This Week Global LNG markets remained highly geopolitical this week as traders assessed whether the Iran conflict has truly ended — and who ultimately controls regional security going forward. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz became a central focus, with ADNOC successfully moving a second LNG tanker through the corridor, helping calm immediate supply fears while raising new questions around future pipeline and export infrastructure investments designed to byp

Timothy Beggans
May 102 min read


NG/LNG – This Week’s Main Drivers and the Look Ahead
Source: Adriatic LNG The global gas market remains on edge. This week reinforced a simple reality: LNG is no longer just a commodity—it’s a geopolitical asset. This Week’s Main Drivers 1) Golden Pass LNG: A Major New Supply Catalyst Golden Pass in Texas produced first LNG and is preparing its inaugural cargo, with feedgas ramping sharply. This adds ~18 mtpa of future capacity at a critical time for global supply. 2) Middle East Disruption Tightens Global Supply Conflict-drive

Timothy Beggans
Apr 52 min read


NG/LNG - This Week’s Main Drivers and the Look Ahead
Source: NOAA This week in natural gas and LNG delivered a sharp mix of bullish fundamentals and geopolitical disruption. A strong storage report (-54 Bcf) came in well below both last year’s +33 Bcf build and the five-year average of -21 Bcf, reinforcing a tightening supply backdrop. At the same time, the Iran conflict appears to be entering a terminal phase—but not before materially impacting global LNG flows. Qatar has declared force majeure on roughly 17% of its output fol

Timothy Beggans
Mar 292 min read


NG/LNG: This Week’s Main Drivers — And the Look Ahead
Source: Google Maps - Ras Laffan (Train 4,6 damaged) Part 1: This Week’s Market Movers The global gas market was jolted by a major escalation in the Middle East. Israeli strikes on Iran’s South Pars gas infrastructure triggered retaliation targeting Qatar’s Ras Laffan LNG complex. Qatar’s declaration of Force Majeure—potentially extending 3–5 years—has sent shockwaves through global LNG supply chains, pushing international gas prices sharply higher and reintroducing structura

Timothy Beggans
Mar 222 min read


NG/LNG: This Week’s Main Drivers — And the Look Ahead
Source: By Matthew Smith @ Flickr - https://www.flickr.com/photos/96701339@N04/39650222120/, CC BY 2.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=83823860 Global natural gas markets have shifted abruptly from a winter weather narrative to a geopolitical one. As of mid-March 2026, escalating conflict in the Middle East has triggered one of the most volatile weeks for LNG markets in years, exposing the growing link between geopolitics, LNG trade flows, and regional gas pr

Timothy Beggans
Mar 152 min read


War Comes for LNG: How Drones Are Rewriting the Rules of Global Gas Trade
Source: By Roysma For decades, the LNG industry operated on a simple assumption: the greatest risks were commercial—price volatility, weather disruptions, and infrastructure constraints. Today, a new threat has emerged that is far cheaper, harder to defend against, and capable of disrupting global energy flows overnight: drones. Recent incidents demonstrate how quickly geopolitical risk is entering the LNG value chain. An Iranian drone attack that damaged infrastructure at th

Timothy Beggans
Mar 72 min read


China’s LNG Futures Gambit: Redrawing the Rules of Global Gas Trade
Source: Shanghai Futures Exchange China is taking a decisive step toward reshaping global LNG pricing with plans to introduce LNG futures on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE). For the world’s largest LNG importer, this is about far more than financial innovation—it’s about control, transparency, and strategic leverage. Who benefits most? Chinese domestic LNG importers gain a powerful new hedging tool tied to local demand fundamentals. A yuan-denominated LNG contract reduce

Timothy Beggans
Feb 12 min read


Japan’s LNG Storage Strategy: Building a Shock Absorber for a Volatile World
Source: JERA Japan is quietly reshaping the global LNG market by expanding storage capacity—and the reasons go far beyond winter demand. At the core is energy security. Japan imports nearly all of its natural gas, yet lacks a fully connected national pipeline system. LNG storage tanks function as the country’s primary buffer, ensuring power and industrial continuity when global supply chains falter. Storage is also becoming an economic shock absorber. With LNG prices increasi

Timothy Beggans
Jan 311 min read


The probability of conflict: How predictive markets reflect geopolitical realities
Source: GROK Predictive markets are increasingly shaping how analysts interpret geopolitical risk—often offering clearer, faster signals than traditional intelligence channels. Nowhere is this more evident than in markets tracking the probability of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan. Platforms like Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, and Metaculus aggregate thousands of independent forecasts. While each uses different mechanisms, all point to the same broad takeaway: low near-term proba

Timothy Beggans
Dec 4, 20252 min read


The Fog of War, Fractures and Rifts: How Will the Energy Markets React?
Source: Twitter (X) In recent weeks, a swirl of geopolitics—from Iran to China to Russia—is casting a growing shadow over global energy markets. These tensions aren’t just headlines; they’re potential inflection points for risk premiums, upstream disruptions, and price volatility. Iran: Drought, Crackdowns & Tanker Seizures Iran is grappling with a historic drought, rising internal unrest, and the seizure of a Marshall Islands–flagged oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz. Becau

Timothy Beggans
Nov 20, 20252 min read


India Tariffs set to rebalance Global LNG trade
Source: SuperGrok The global LNG market is once again being reshaped—not by price cycles or supply shocks, but by tariffs and...

Timothy Beggans
Sep 2, 20252 min read


Natural Gas: Outlook for the Rest of 2025
Source: Google Maps As we enter late 2025, the natural gas market stands at a critical juncture, shaped by global demand shifts, policy...

Timothy Beggans
Aug 5, 20252 min read
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