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Energy Consultancy | Wellhead to Global LNG, Sustainability and AI


Hedging Strategies in Natural Gas: Swaps, Costless Collars, and Three-way Collars
Source: Elk Trading Company LLC Natural gas producers operate in a landscape shaped by weather volatility, LNG-driven baseload demand, and shifting production growth. In this environment, hedging isn’t a luxury—it’s fundamental risk management. While structures evolve with market conditions, three tools dominate E&P portfolios: swaps, costless collars, and three-way collars. Each carries a different balance of protection, opportunity, and complexity. Swaps The most widely use

Timothy Beggans
Nov 25, 20252 min read


What's New in Natural Gas (NGZ25 @ 4.498) - 11.24.2025
NG Stock Watch List Oil & Gas EMP Sector Market Cap 2-10B, short float over 10% APA | BKV | CIVI | CNX | CRK | MGY | MUR | NOG

Timothy Beggans
Nov 24, 20251 min read


The Fog of War, Fractures and Rifts: How Will the Energy Markets React?
Source: Twitter (X) In recent weeks, a swirl of geopolitics—from Iran to China to Russia—is casting a growing shadow over global energy markets. These tensions aren’t just headlines; they’re potential inflection points for risk premiums, upstream disruptions, and price volatility. Iran: Drought, Crackdowns & Tanker Seizures Iran is grappling with a historic drought, rising internal unrest, and the seizure of a Marshall Islands–flagged oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz. Becau

Timothy Beggans
Nov 20, 20252 min read


Mid-Week Natural Gas Report (NGZ25 @ 4.721) - 11.19.2025
NG Stock Watch List Oil & Gas EMP Sector Market Cap 2-10B, short float over 10% APA | BKV | CIVI | CNX | CRK | MGY | MUR | NOG

Timothy Beggans
Nov 19, 20251 min read


December Polar Vortex? Options market heats up!
Source: Pivotal Weather (December 1, 2025) As we turn toward the tail end of the year, the energy derivatives market is flashing clear signals of concern—and opportunity. Both December and January call-option activity on the CME Group’s energy complex show elevated volume in deep out-of-the-money (OTM) strikes, pointing to traders hedging for upside exposure amid a potential cold snap. Here’s what’s driving the shift: Recent weather-model runs from both the GFS (Global Foreca

Timothy Beggans
Nov 18, 20252 min read


What's New in Natura Gas (NGZ25 @ 4.500) - 11.17.2025
NG Stock Watch List Oil & Gas EMP Sector Market Cap 2-10B, short float over 10% APA | BKV | CIVI | CNX | CRK | MGY | MUR | NOG

Timothy Beggans
Nov 17, 20251 min read


Natural Gas Weekly Recap (NGZ25 @ 4.441) - 11.14.2025
NG Stock Watch List Oil & Gas EMP Sector Market Cap 2-10B, short float over 10% APA | BKV | CIVI | CNX | CRK | MGY | MUR | NOG

Timothy Beggans
Nov 14, 20251 min read


NG Stocks Jump on Colder December Forecasts
Source: TradingView.com Natural gas equities are surging as colder December forecasts drive renewed bullish sentiment across the market. Leading producers like EQT, Comstock (CRK), Antero (AR), and CNX have all rallied in recent sessions, boosted by expectations of stronger heating demand and record-setting LNG export volumes . While updated models now project higher Heating Degree Days (HDDs) for December, they still trail last year’s levels. Yet, the market’s reaction sugg

Timothy Beggans
Nov 13, 20251 min read


Mid-Week Natural Gas Report (NGZ25 @ 4.544) - 11.12.2025
NG Stock Watch List Oil & Gas EMP Sector Market Cap 2-10B, short float over 10% APA | BKV | CIVI | CNX | CRK | MGY | MUR | NOG

Timothy Beggans
Nov 12, 20251 min read


NG Volatility Is Coming — Buckle Up!
Source: Elk Trading Company LLC The natural gas market is heading into a new era of volatility. As U.S. LNG exports and data centers surge, the share of baseload (24/7/365) demand continues to grow — permanently altering the balance of flexibility that has historically smoothed seasonal swings. This shift means the remaining variable components of demand—industrial, residential, and power generation—will become more reactive to even minor shifts in weather, pipeline constrai

Timothy Beggans
Nov 11, 20251 min read


ETC What's New in Natural Gas (NGZ25 @ 4.272) - 11.10.2025
NG Stock Watch List Oil & Gas EMP Sector Market Cap 2-10B, short float over 10% APA | CIVI | CNX | CRK | MGY | MUR | NOG

Timothy Beggans
Nov 10, 20251 min read


Natural Gas Weekly Recap (NGZ25 @ 4.349) - 11.07.2025
NG Stock Watch List Oil & Gas EMP Sector Market Cap 2-10B, short float over 10% APA | CIVI | CNX | CRK | MGY | MUR

Timothy Beggans
Nov 7, 20251 min read


The Perception of Risk in Energy Markets: Kahneman, Taleb, and the Barbell Defense
Source: GROK Energy markets expose a fundamental flaw in human decision-making: we misjudge risk. Daniel Kahneman, in Thinking, Fast and Slow, explains how our fast, emotional “System 1” often overrides deliberate reasoning. Nassim Taleb’s Antifragile trilogy adds that systems built on false stability eventually collapse under volatility. Together, they explain why billion-dollar energy failures keep repeating. Kahneman’s Cognitive Traps Anchoring Bias : After the 2014 oil cr

Timothy Beggans
Nov 6, 20252 min read



Timothy Beggans
Nov 4, 20250 min read


Re-Thinking Black Start: Can BESS Anchor ERCOT’s Next Grid Restoration?
Source: TESLA After Winter Storm Uri, Texas learned the hard way that its grid restoration system needs a reboot. Over 80% of ERCOT’s Black Start units failed during the 2021 freeze, exposing weaknesses in a system built around fossil generation. Now ERCOT and FERC are exploring whether Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) can help restart the grid after a blackout—using fast-acting, inverter-based batteries to energize substations and transmission corridors. Advantages Inst

Timothy Beggans
Nov 4, 20251 min read


What's New in Natural Gas (NGZ25 @ 4.120) - 11.03.2025
NG Stock Watch List Oil & Gas EMP Sector Market Cap 2-10B, short float over 10% APA | CIVI | CNX | CRK | MGY | MUR | NOG

Timothy Beggans
Nov 3, 20251 min read


Natural Gas Weekly Recap (NGZ25 @ 4.041) - 10.31.2025
NG Stock Watch List Oil & Gas EMP Sector Market Cap 2-10B, short float over 10% APA | CIVI | CNX | CRK | MGY | MUR | NOG

Timothy Beggans
Oct 31, 20251 min read


Texas at a Crossroads: Surging Energy Demands Amid a Looming Water Crisis
Source: GROK Texas is powering America’s future—its tech boom, manufacturing renaissance, and energy expansion are reshaping the state’s economy. But beneath the prosperity lies a rising threat: water scarcity. Houston’s peak power load is projected to surge nearly 50% within six years, driven by explosive data center growth and industrial demand. With over 390 data centers already operating across the state—from Dallas to Austin—the grid is straining under unprecedented load

Timothy Beggans
Oct 30, 20252 min read


Mid-Week Natural Gas Report (NGZ25 @ 3.818) - 10.29.2025
NG Stock Watch List Oil & Gas EMP Sector Market Cap 2-10B, short float over 10% APA | CIVI | CNX | CRK | MGY | MUR | NOG

Timothy Beggans
Oct 29, 20251 min read


Powering the AI Era with Clean Firm Energy: Google’s CCS Deal Signals a New Frontier
Source: https://www.flickr.com/photos/quintanomedia/52639793897/ Google’s recent agreement to purchase power from the Broadwing Energy project in Decatur, Illinois—a 400 MW natural gas-fired plant with carbon capture and storage (CCS)—marks a pioneering step in sustainable energy for AI. Unlike traditional wind or solar PPAs, this deal leverages CCS to capture ~90% of CO₂ emissions, storing them underground, ensuring firm, dispatchable clean power for Google’s 24/7 data cente

Timothy Beggans
Oct 28, 20252 min read
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