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Super El Niño: In Like Heat Miser, Out Like Snow Miser?
Source: Severe Weather Europe What if the biggest natural-gas weather surprise of Winter 2026–27 comes after the holidays? The Super El Niño story is getting harder to ignore. NOAA’s latest August 13 update says El Niño is strengthening, with greater than a 90% chance of a very strong event this fall and winter—and a 69% probability that October–December reaches historic strength, exceeding El Niño events going back to 1950. (Climate Prediction Center) But here’s where the wi

Timothy Beggans
4 hours ago2 min read


Natural Gas Weekly Recap - September Futures (NGU26 @ 2.770) | 08.14.2026
Timestamps 00:00 - Market Update: September Futures & Technical Indicators (RSI, EMA) 00:42 - Hourly Chart Analysis: Support and Resistance Levels 01:05 - EIA Storage Report Breakdown: Bullish vs. Bearish Factors 01:46 - Temperature Outlook: 6-10 & 8-14 Day Forecasts 02:13 - Historical Comparison: February Contract vs. 2025 Lows 03:05 - ERCOT Grid Update: Renewables vs. Natural Gas Share 03:49 - Regional Volatility: PJM, MISO, and ISO New England 04:28 - Heat Risk Map: Extrem

Timothy Beggans
1 day ago2 min read


Daily Natural Gas Report - September Futures (NGU26 @ 2.739) | 08.13.2026
Timestamps 0:00 Market Overview & September Futures (NGU26) 0:20 Storage Day Expectations & Bullish/Bearish Scenarios 0:48 Technical Analysis: Hourly Chart & RSI Levels 1:16 Weather Outlook: Extreme Heat & Humidity Focus 2:02 Winter Strip Analysis (Nov–March) 2:24 Electrical Grid & Renewables Fuel Mix (ERCOT/PJM) 3:35 Heat Risk Assessment: 61 Million People Impacted 4:13 Long-Range Temperature Models 4:47 International Weather: Europe Heatwaves 5:21 EU Storage & Global LNG Ar

Timothy Beggans
2 days ago1 min read


Mid-Week Natural Gas Report - September Futures (NGU26 @ 2.813) | 08.12.2026
Timestamps 00:00 Market Overview: September Futures Up 00:24 Daily & Hourly Chart Analysis 01:23 Extreme Heat Risks in the Southeast 01:55 Front to Back Spreads & El Niño Update 02:28 ERCOT Grid: Renewables vs. Natural Gas 03:01 Multi-Region Power Demand Outlook 03:29 National Heat Risk: 10-30 Million People Affected 04:16 Long-Range Forecast: Triple Digits in Texas 04:56 European Market: Heatwaves & Storage Deficits 06:20 France Update: Jellyfish Impacting Nuclear Units 07:0
Joshua H
4 days ago1 min read


Daily Natural Gas - Report September Futures (NGU26 @ 2.785) | 08.11.2026
Timestamps 0:00 – Market Intro & September Spot Contract Update 0:38 – Storage Expectations: Bullish vs. Bearish Trends 1:02 – Hourly Chart Analysis & Daily Pivot Support 1:37 – Weather Outlook: 6-10 Day Bullseye & Extreme Heat Risk 2:06 – Grid Performance & Fuel Mix: ERCOT, PJM, & NYISO 4:39 – European Market Focus: Extreme Heat in France & Germany 5:09 – Europe & UK Storage Challenges 5:38 – Asia Update: Typhoon Dolphin’s Impact on Cooling 6:07 – LNG Terminal Updates: Camer

Timothy Beggans
5 days ago2 min read


What's New in Natural Gas - September Futures (NGU26 @ 2.795) | 08.10.2026
Top News for Natural Gas: 1.) Iran lays out maximalist terms for SoH reopening 2.) US - Weather models turn bullish 3.) France set to bake mid-week 4.) PJM - NG projects surge in latest interconnection queue Timestamps: 00:00 - Introduction & Top News Headlines 00:40 - September Futures Analysis & RSI Reversal 01:58 - Front-to-Back Spreads & ERCOT Grid Demand 02:53 - US National Grid & Extreme Heat Outlook 04:20 - European Weather & Storage Levels (France/Germany) 06:55 -

Timothy Beggans
5 days ago2 min read


NG/LNG - This Week's Main Drivers and the Look Ahead | 8.9.26
Source: EIA The natural gas market continues to balance late-summer weather, growing LNG demand, and persistent geopolitical uncertainty. While cooler temperatures are beginning to reduce U.S. cooling demand in some regions, the global LNG market remains tightly focused on supply security heading into winter. This Week's Main Drivers: The EIA reported a +33 Bcf natural gas storage injection this week—bearish versus last year's +13 Bcf build and the 5-year average of +23 Bcf.

Timothy Beggans
6 days ago2 min read


Will Summer Doldrums Lead to Winter Volatility?
Source: WXCharts.com Natural gas markets have become increasingly comfortable with lower prices. Storage injections remain healthy, summer demand is beginning to ease, and many traders have embraced the bearish narrative. But when everyone is on the same side of the trade, it often pays to ask: what could change? Several developing trends suggest today's complacency could give way to a much different winter. Meteorologists continue to monitor the evolution of a potential Supe

Timothy Beggans
Aug 82 min read
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